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UFC 332 Betting Trends Show Sharp Money Favoring Figueiredo and McGee

By Deadspin •

Why Figueiredo Is Drawing Sharp Attention

Garrett Kerman reported on October 1, 2026, that UFC 332 in Atlanta, Georgia, is drawing significant sharp money on two specific fighters. Deiveson Figueiredo and Court McGee are receiving the majority of informed wagers ahead of the event at State Farm Arena. The betting splits indicate professional gamblers are confident in these matchups despite public sentiment leaning elsewhere.

Sharp money refers to bets placed by experienced, successful gamblers who often move lines through large, strategic wagers. In this case, Figueiredo is seeing strong support in his flyweight bout, while McGee is attracting similar attention in his welterweight fight against Michael Chiesa. The data suggests these picks are based on deeper analysis of fighter styles, recent performance, and matchup advantages rather than popularity or hype.

How Chiesa’s Style Affects McGee’s Odds

Figueiredo, a former UFC flyweight champion, is returning to action after a layoff and is viewed by sharp bettors as having a clear path to victory. His opponent, while durable, lacks the defensive grappling to counter Figueiredo’s pressure and takedown game. Analysts note that Figueiredo’s recent training camp has focused on improving his cardio and pace, which could be decisive in a five-round fight. The betting movement reflects confidence that he can control the tempo and secure either a decision or late stoppage.

Despite Michael Chiesa’s reputation as a tough, durable welterwood, sharp money is favoring Court McGee in their matchup. Chiesa tends to rely on volume striking and forward pressure, but McGee’s counterpunching and defensive movement have proven effective against similar styles in past fights. McGee’s ability to slip punches and land sharp counters could frustrate Chiesa over three rounds. Bettors note that Chiesa’s recent losses have come against fighters who avoid exchanges and make him miss, a trait McGee possesses.

What Happens If the Public Bets Against the Sharp Money?

When public betting opposes sharp money, it often creates value on the sharp side as lines may not fully reflect the informed perspective. If Figueiredo and McGee win as expected, it could signal a weekend where following the money paid off. Conversely, if they lose, it might prompt reevaluation of how certain stylistic matchups are assessed. Either outcome will influence how bettors approach future UFC events, particularly in weighing fighter tendencies against public perception.

What does sharp money indicate in UFC betting? Sharp money suggests wagers from knowledgeable bettors who often identify value before the public, potentially influencing fight outcomes based on analysis rather than popularity.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Court McGee favored by sharp bettors despite Chiesa’s experience? McGee’s defensive skills and counterpunching ability are seen as effective tools to neutralize Chiesa’s forward pressure and volume striking, based on past performance trends.

How might the UFC 332 results affect future betting strategies? A win for Figueiredo and McGee could reinforce the importance of stylistic matchups and camp preparation, while losses might lead to deeper scrutiny of how betting lines interpret fighter durability and pace.